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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-1350).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have 131.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Greg Dortch has been given 5.9% of red zone carries this year (0th when it comes to wideouts).
  • After accruing 11.0 air yards per game last year, Greg Dortch has regressed heavily this year, currently averaging -2.0 per game.
  • Greg Dortch's 9.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 17.2.
  • The Arizona offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • This year, the strong Seahawks defense has surrendered a feeble 62.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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