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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -210.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Greg Dortch comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching an exceptional 82.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

This year, the weak Titans pass defense has conceded a colossal 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Greg Dortch's 34.9% Route% this season marks a remarkable decrease in his passing game volume over last season's 47.1% rate.

The Tennessee defensive ends project as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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