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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New Orleans Saints defense has been something of pass funnel last year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (34.4 per game) last year.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football last year.

Greg Dortch is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a fantastic 81.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 86th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Saints pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61%) vs. wideouts last year (61.0%).

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