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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett.
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 129.9 total plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Greg Dortch's 90.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a meaningful gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 81.4% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accruing 11.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has regressed heavily this season, now boasting -2.0 per game.
  • Greg Dortch's 10.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 17.2.
  • Greg Dortch has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
  • Greg Dortch's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, averaging a mere 5.78 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.25 mark last year.
  • Greg Dortch's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.95 rate last year.

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