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Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.Greg Dortch comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching an exceptional 82.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile among wideouts.With an impressive 6.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Greg Dortch has been as one of the best wide receivers in the game in football in space.The Tennessee Titans defense has been gouged for the 9th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (157.0) to WRs this year.This year, the weak Titans pass defense has conceded a colossal 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Greg Dortch's 34.9% Route% this season marks a remarkable decrease in his passing game volume over last season's 47.1% rate.After averaging 11.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has significantly declined this season, now sitting at -1.0 per game.
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