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Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-109).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.At the moment, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Arizona Cardinals.Greg Dortch's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 81.4% to 88.0%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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After totaling 11.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has produced significantly less this season, now boasting 5.0 per game.The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game metrics across the board.Greg Dortch has been one of the bottom wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a lowly 17.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile when it comes to WRs.Greg Dortch's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging a measly 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.25 mark last year.Greg Dortch's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.95 rate last year.
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