Greg Dortch Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Greg Dortch

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:50 PM EST

Analysis

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Greg Dortch to accrue 6.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Greg Dortch to be a more important option in his offense's pass game this week (17.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (7.6% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 123.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.39 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.