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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 61.9% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • The Commanders pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81.3%) versus TEs this year (81.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are forecasted by the model to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Gerald Everett's 7.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 26.6.
  • Gerald Everett's 1.0 adjusted catches per game this year represents a substantial regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 3.4 rate.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 8th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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