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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Gerald Everett comes in as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game last year, averaging an excellent 3.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Last year, the porous Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded a staggering 77.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tennessee's safety corps has been awful last year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects Gerald Everett to be a less important option in his team's passing attack in this week's contest (8.3% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (13.4% in games he has played).

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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