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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 61.9% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Chicago Bears.

The Chicago Bears have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.

Gerald Everett comes in as one of the best TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are forecasted by the model to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

After averaging 21.0 air yards per game last season, Gerald Everett has seen a big decline this season, now boasting 4.0 per game.

Gerald Everett's 7.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 26.6.

Gerald Everett's 4.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 28.0 rate.

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