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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chicago Bears.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

The Chicago O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Gerald Everett profiles as one of the top tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 77th percentile.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Gerald Everett has put up far fewer air yards this year (4.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

Gerald Everett's 8.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 26.6.

Gerald Everett has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).

Gerald Everett's 3.0 adjusted yards per target this season shows a meaningful regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.1 figure.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64.3%) versus TEs this year (64.3%).

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