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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.3 plays per game.

Gerald Everett profiles as one of the leading tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a fantastic 5.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the poor Rams defense has allowed a whopping 54.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

The Rams pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 8.66 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Gerald Everett's 40.8% Route% this year represents a noteworthy diminishment in his pass game workload over last year's 56.1% figure.

The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Gerald Everett's 61.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteable decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 71.8% mark.

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