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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Bears as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Gerald Everett checks in as one of the best tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a remarkable 5.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Colts defense has given up a whopping 49.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 8th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.

While Gerald Everett has been responsible for 13.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Chicago's passing offense this week at 8.5%.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Gerald Everett rates as one of the least efficient receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a lowly 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 13th percentile.

The Colts linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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