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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -230.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

The Bears rank as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.1% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

With a sizeable 13.9% Target Rate (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Gerald Everett places among the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.

With an outstanding 5.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Gerald Everett rates as one of the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

With a bad 6.0 adjusted yards per target (13th percentile) since the start of last season, Gerald Everett has been as one of the weakest pass-game tight ends in the league.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Texans defense has yielded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a puny 7.0 yards.

Last year, the tough Texans pass defense has conceded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a meager 4.4 YAC.

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