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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+243/-390).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +245 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +243.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Gerald Everett has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.8% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.

Gerald Everett has notched many more air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).

Gerald Everett's 37.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 27.5.

Gerald Everett grades out in the 92nd percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 62.4%.

The Cleveland Browns defense has yielded the least passing touchdowns in the NFL to TEs: 0.00 per game this year.

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