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George Pickens

George Pickens Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

George Pickens Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+127/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.0 per game on average).

When it comes to air yards, George Pickens ranks in the lofty 93rd percentile among WRs this year, accruing a whopping 100.0 per game.

George Pickens's 65.7% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 59.1% mark.

With an impressive ratio of 0.83 per game through the air (98th percentile), George Pickens stands among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among WRs this year.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's DE corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects George Pickens to be much less involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game (28.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (34.6% in games he has played).

George Pickens's 51.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 71.0.

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