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George Pickens

George Pickens Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

George Pickens Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+122/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

When it comes to air yards, George Pickens ranks in the towering 94th percentile among WRs this year, accruing a superb 104.0 per game.

George Pickens's 67.5% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a material growth in his receiving ability over last year's 59.1% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.

While George Pickens has received 36.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Dallas's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 29.0%.

George Pickens's 51.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 71.0.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

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