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George Pickens

George Pickens Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Pickens Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.2% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 58.8 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • George Pickens's 61.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 71.0.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has yielded a mere 66.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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