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George Pickens

George Pickens Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Pickens Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • With an elite 21.2% Red Zone Target% (84th percentile) this year, George Pickens has been among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.
  • In regards to air yards, George Pickens grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among wideouts this year, accruing an impressive 98.0 per game.
  • George Pickens's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 59.1% to 71.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • George Pickens's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 71.0.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the worst in football this year.

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