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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+126/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects George Pickens to earn 8.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • George Pickens's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, notching 5.3 adjusted catches vs just 4.2 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • George Pickens's 58.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 71.0.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.7%) to WRs this year (59.7%).
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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