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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+128/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, George Pickens is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 88th percentile among WRs with 7.9 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • George Pickens's 57.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 71.0.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

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