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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-127/+111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.0 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to earn 7.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

With an impressive 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, George Pickens stands among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.

George Pickens's 65.7% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 59.1% mark.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

George Pickens's 51.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 71.0.

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

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