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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • In this week's game, George Pickens is predicted by the projections to place in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.9 targets.
  • George Pickens's 5.5 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a significant gain in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.2 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • George Pickens's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 71.0.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year.

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