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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -177 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.

George Pickens has run a route on 90.2% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.1%) to WRs this year (68.1%).

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

George Pickens has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, hauling in a measly 61.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among wide receivers

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on a mere 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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