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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to notch 8.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to be a more important option in his offense's passing game this week (24.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • George Pickens's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates an impressive decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.0% mark.

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