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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.

George Pickens has posted a colossal 98.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among WRs.

George Pickens ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 61.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

George Pickens's 69.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a substantial boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 59.1% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.

The model projects George Pickens to be a less important option in his team's passing game in this week's contest (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.3% in games he has played).

In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

With a subpar 2.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (21st percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens has been as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the league in picking up extra yardage.

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