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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.3 plays per game.
  • The projections expect George Pickens to accumulate 8.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
  • When it comes to air yards, George Pickens ranks in the lofty 94th percentile among WRs this year, accumulating a staggering 97.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.
  • George Pickens's 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 71.0.
  • The Dallas offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • George Pickens's ability to pick up extra yardage has diminished this year, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.95 mark last year.
  • The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 8th-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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