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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).
  • This week, George Pickens is predicted by the projection model to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.1 targets.
  • In regards to air yards, George Pickens grades out in the towering 94th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a massive 101.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • George Pickens's 58.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 71.0.
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • George Pickens's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.95 mark last year.

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