George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 29, 2024 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With an impressive 93.5% Route Participation Rate (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
This week, George Pickens is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.9 targets.
When it comes to air yards, George Pickens ranks in the lofty 89th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing a colossal 86.0 per game.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
George Pickens's 1.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a material decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.9% mark.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Indianapolis Colts defense has given up a meager 135.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 10th-best in the league.