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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

In this game, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 7.5 targets.

George Pickens has totaled significantly more air yards this season (94.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).

George Pickens's 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 62.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

George Pickens's ability to generate extra yardage has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 2.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.94 figure last year.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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