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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • George Pickens has accrued significantly more air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (78.0 per game).
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, George Pickens has been more heavily relied on in his offense's pass game.
  • With an outstanding 57.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) this year, George Pickens ranks as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.7%) to wide receivers this year (70.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

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