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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

George Pickens Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+251/-412).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +289 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +251.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to be much more involved in his team's passing game near the goal line this week (20.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.3% in games he has played).

George Pickens has accumulated a whopping 97.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

George Pickens grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (54.7%) vs. wideouts this year (54.7%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on just 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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