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George Kittle

George Kittle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +198.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • George Kittle has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.3% this year, which ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • George Kittle has been in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 48.4 mark this year.
  • With a stellar 86.9% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle places among the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends.
  • With an exceptional rate of 0.54 per game through the air (95th percentile), George Kittle rates as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • After averaging 56.0 air yards per game last season, George Kittle has produced significantly less this season, currently pacing 45.0 per game.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the formidable Eagles defense has yielded a feeble 0.24 passing TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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