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George Kittle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-240).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -240.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.George Kittle is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, completing a remarkable 87.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.George Kittle ranks in the 96th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.62 per game.The opposing side have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.45 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's DE corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the best in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The 49ers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.Windy weather conditions (like the 26-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.While George Kittle has garnered 27.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in San Francisco's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest at 19.7%.
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