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George Kittle

George Kittle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
George Kittle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • George Kittle's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 85.6% to 94.5%.
  • With a fantastic ratio of 0.71 per game through the air (99th percentile), George Kittle places among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among tight ends this year.
  • This year, the deficient Panthers pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 82.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to be much less involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (22.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (28.6% in games he has played).
  • After totaling 56.0 air yards per game last year, George Kittle has regressed heavily this year, now pacing 33.0 per game.

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