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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast George Kittle to notch 7.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • With a top-tier 22.5% Target Rate (98th percentile) this year, George Kittle places among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.
  • With a remarkable 4.4 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates among the best TEs in the pass game in football.
  • With an outstanding 87.3% Adjusted Catch% (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a paltry 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-best rate in the league.
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

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