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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+113/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • George Kittle has run a route on 86.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
  • Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to notch 6.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
  • George Kittle comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, completing an outstanding 87.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • George Kittle's 4.2 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 5.3 figure.
  • When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Tennessee's collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

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