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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-144/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, George Kittle is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 89th percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.
  • George Kittle's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 85.6% to 94.5%.
  • This year, the deficient Panthers pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 82.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • George Kittle's 38.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 48.4.
  • George Kittle's 3.9 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a noteworthy decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 5.3 figure.

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