My Account Log Out
 
 
George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • This week, George Kittle is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.4 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • George Kittle's 15.9% Target Share this year indicates a remarkable reduction in his air attack workload over last year's 22.1% mark.
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • George Kittle's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a material reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 5.3 rate.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.3%) to tight ends this year (71.3%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™