|
|
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-148/+130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +134 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +130.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
In this week's contest, George Kittle is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.8 targets.With a sizeable 22.1% Target Rate (96th percentile) last year, George Kittle rates as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.George Kittle checks in as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game last year, averaging an outstanding 5.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.George Kittle is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a remarkable 85.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 98th percentile.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 54.0% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.The predictive model expects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The San Francisco 49ers have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a lowly 55.7 plays per game.When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled last year, ranking as the 10th-best in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
