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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a whopping 63.7 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • George Kittle's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 85.6% to 67.2%.
  • George Kittle's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating just 4.64 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 12.46 mark last season.
  • The Texans defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 43.0) versus tight ends this year.
  • This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has conceded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a paltry 6.2 yards.

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