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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast George Kittle to notch 7.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • With a top-tier 22.5% Target Rate (98th percentile) this year, George Kittle places among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.
  • With an outstanding 87.3% Adjusted Catch% (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.
  • The Seahawks defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (61.0) to tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • George Kittle has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (47.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game).
  • George Kittle has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (76.0).
  • George Kittle's 10.5 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 12.5 mark.

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