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George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.

With an elite 84.9% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) this year, George Kittle places among the TEs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to accrue 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.

After totaling 56.0 air yards per game last year, George Kittle has been a disappointment this year, now sitting at 39.0 per game.

George Kittle's 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates an impressive decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 76.0 rate.

More George Kittle Player Props

George Kittle Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16