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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, George Kittle is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 89th percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.
  • George Kittle's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 85.6% to 94.5%.
  • This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a colossal 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the most in the league.
  • This year, the anemic Panthers defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 10.06 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • After totaling 56.0 air yards per game last year, George Kittle has regressed heavily this year, now pacing 33.0 per game.
  • George Kittle's 38.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 48.4.

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