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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 5.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • George Kittle has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, catching a terrific 76.6% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.
  • George Kittle has been among the most efficient receivers in the NFL among TEs, averaging an impressive 9.06 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 87th percentile.
  • George Kittle's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, accumulating 6.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 5.91 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 27.07 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
  • George Kittle has notched quite a few less air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).

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