Geoff Swaim Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Geoff Swaim

NFL · Player Props

Geoff Swaim

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Geoff Swaim Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Geoff Swaim has played on 65.5% of his team's snaps this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among TEs.
Geoff Swaim's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 81.3% to 87.5%.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 10th-most receiving yards per game in football (56.0) to TEs this year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (77.9%) versus TEs this year (77.9%).
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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