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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Geno Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • Geno Smith has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league when it comes to QBs (2nd percentile).
  • The Jaguars defense has allowed the 4th-most TDs through the air in football: 2.14 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
  • Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 70.1% to 65.4%.

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