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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Geno Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+720/-1450).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The running TD field reads "0" on the back of Geno Smith's trading card this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Geno Smith's 65.9% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive decrease in his passing accuracy over last year's 70.1% mark.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-most touchdowns in football (1.27 per game) against the Giants defense this year.

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