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Geno Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Geno Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+890/-1300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1450 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +890.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.2% pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a terrible rate of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (3rd percentile), Geno Smith has been among the bottom rushing QBs in the league this year.

The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Browns defense this year.

The Cleveland Browns defensive ends grade out as the best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Raiders are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 125.5 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 26.9 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 70.1% to 65.6%.

More Geno Smith Player Props

Geno Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Geno Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12