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Geno Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

Geno Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+910/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The Raiders rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

The rushing TD line reads "0" on Geno Smith's player page this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Raiders have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 52.9 plays per game.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Geno Smith's 66.1% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a significant reduction in his throwing accuracy over last year's 70.1% figure.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

More Geno Smith Player Props

Geno Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

Geno Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11